Breakaway Stats Baseball

Daily MLB Picks: Player Props, Game Totals & Pitcher Matchups

Every pick comes from 20+ tracked systems, and every result is published — wins and losses. Start free with the morning briefing, buy a single day for $5, or go Premium+ for the full card, the dashboard and the Discord.

Free

$0

Always free

  • Morning brief on game days
  • Every player card and filter
  • Game cards with pitchers & odds
  • Picks, dashboard, Discord

Cancel anytime.

Day Pass

$5 once

Today only

  • Today's full card, emailed
  • Every line, odds and model
  • One-time charge, nothing renews
  • Dashboard, Discord, tomorrow

Emailed by 5 PM ET on game days.

Weekly

$10/wk

Full access, weekly

  • Everything in Premium+
  • Picks, dashboard and Discord
  • Billed weekly, stop any time
  • Same access, no monthly commitment

Renews weekly until you cancel.

Premium+

$35/mo

Best value

  • Full picks card + briefing, every game day
  • Pick of the Day with L10 rates and splits
  • 20+ systems, each with live W/L and ROI
  • Every player card, filter and Statcast tool
  • NewDiscord: live totals feed, lineups, BvP
  • Custom models built to your metrics

Lock in your rate while subscribed.

Subscriptions renew automatically until cancelled. Cancel anytime from the dashboard. By subscribing you agree to our Terms, including automatic renewal and our right to cancel on failed payment.

Model Performance

Live W/L/ROI · updated daily

See every pick, every model, every day.

Premium+ unlocks the full dashboard — live W/L/ROI for all 0 systems, each pick tagged to the system behind it, 90-day performance windows, and every system's picks on the dashboard before lineups lock, ahead of the email.

Get Premium+, $35/mo

What's in the email

Two emails. The free morning briefing is a quick scan you can read in a minute. Premium+ adds the picks email once lineups lock.

Morning Briefing (8 AM ET) · Free

  • Career Killers: hitters who own tonight's starter
  • Hot & Cold: live hit streaks and hitless skids
  • Owns This Opponent: career numbers vs tonight's opponent, plus home and road splits
  • Bullpen Watch: which pens are rested and which are gassed
  • Around the League: every game with first pitch and both starters
  • Yesterday's results, graded and posted
  • Model Watch: which models are hot and what they are picking

Picks Email (when lineups lock) · Premium+

  • Pick of the Day with the stats behind it
  • Hit props with L10 hit rate (e.g., 8 of last 10)
  • Career batting average vs RHP / LHP
  • Head-to-head history vs tonight's starter
  • Lineup confirmation + batting order

The morning briefing is free every game day, and it includes yesterday's graded results so you can see how the models are doing before you pay for anything. MLB picks are manually curated. Plus+ unlocks the Pick of the Day and the full slate of hit props and game totals.

NewPremium+ only

Members-only Discord

Four channels that post on their own all day, so you get plays and lineup changes when they happen instead of waiting on tomorrow's email. Connect your Discord account after you subscribe and access stays in sync with your subscription.

#total-runs-vibe

Our best performing model gets its own channel. Every over and under play it makes, with the record of how similar plays have done, line moves, and results the next day.

#daily-lineup-moves

Confirmed batting orders the moment they post, lined up against the last game so you can see exactly who moved, who sat, and who got bumped up.

#bvp-daily

The best batter vs pitcher matchups on the slate, ranked. Career numbers for every hitter against the pitcher they face today.

#mlb-daily-picks

The full picks board, posted the same time the email goes out.

Already a member? Connect your Discord account.

Frequently Asked Questions

Daily MLB Picks Newsletter with Machine Learning Models

Breakaway Stats delivers a daily MLB picks newsletter built on 20+ automated pick systems. Every game day, models run across player props, game totals, and moneylines to surface the strongest edges before lineups lock. Picks cover hit props, home run props, RBI props, total bases, and game over/unders.

Best MLB prop bets, tracked and graded daily

Every pick is tracked and graded. The model dashboard shows live hit rates, ROI, and L10 records for each system so you can see exactly which models are performing and which are not. Over 1,400 picks tracked across all MLB systems since launch.

MLB betting picks email: what subscribers receive

Free subscribers receive a morning briefing with hit streaks and slumps, career batter vs pitcher numbers, bullpen rest, and the day's probable pitchers. Premium+ subscribers get the Pick of the Day plus the full curated card with hit props and splits, and unlock the full model dashboard with live records, hit rates, and 90-day performance windows across all systems.

About this service

Breakaway Stats is an independent MLB analytics and picks newsletter. Picks are manually curated using statistical models, matchup data, and pitcher analysis. We have tracked every pick since March 2026. Results are published in the email and visible to subscribers.

Picks are our opinions, provided for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not professional gambling or financial advice, and no outcome is guaranteed. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Any wager is your decision and your risk. Please bet responsibly and within your means.

Billing and cancellation

Premium+ renews automatically at the price you signed up at until you cancel. That rate stays yours for as long as your subscription remains continuously active. Billing stops automatically at the end of the MLB season.

Cancel anytime via the link in any email or by replying to us. No friction. Cancelling stops future renewals and does not refund the current billing period.

If a renewal payment fails, we may retry your payment method over a short recovery period. If it cannot be collected, we reserve the right to suspend or cancel your subscription and access to paid features. Resubscribing after that applies the then-current price. See our Terms of Service for full details.

Join the free MLB list

Free morning data brief, every game day.